Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 16.845577 19.132147 21.623051 24.539397 27.862176 31.532428 35.897229
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.060605 17.149595 20.766304 25.318966 30.905453 37.548245 46.064121
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.634900 15.130310 19.497415 25.367035 33.071173 42.868498 56.322288
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.362889 12.922314 17.646194 24.396157 33.832822 46.615822 65.347439
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.602284 11.096364 16.004888 23.436738 34.467664 50.336079 75.078219
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.406103 9.860868 14.983924 23.181456 36.066820 55.704859 88.214307
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.536395 8.964045 14.315637 23.343576 38.336071 62.490194 104.855591
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.769969 8.101215 13.562292 23.249313 40.201225 69.000165 122.392318
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.287652 7.624564 13.358016 24.033733 43.688040 78.843774 147.641680
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.776738 7.013257 12.826209 24.158548 46.050636 87.176813 171.921805
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.238333 6.262585 11.924993 23.451493 46.753554 92.606624 191.836448
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.835607 5.701294 11.285303 23.135033 48.163538 99.672557 216.567505
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.580322 5.399582 11.123390 23.802419 51.823833 112.235870 256.280634
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.382366 5.182848 11.100364 24.769254 56.347569 127.602917 305.967039
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.144971 4.841536 10.759846 24.986851 59.274683 140.091469 352.050742
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.864073 4.355360 10.021369 24.162753 59.631110 146.746416 385.555022
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.622985 3.919887 9.325688 23.314375 59.777048 152.975781 419.660113
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.455823 3.632653 8.931403 23.141079 61.616971 163.922103 469.411506
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.331196 3.429326 8.707870 23.368011 64.578533 178.504012 533.333381
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.208111 3.208739 8.403731 23.325595 66.811418 191.625017 596.533302
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.137289 3.114287 8.413074 24.155714 71.726285 213.524561 692.857067
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.046018 2.948170 8.201321 24.315828 74.714428 230.443327 777.938566
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.934205 2.704944 7.734057 23.630927 74.980799 239.107405 837.879207